Scenarios for the future of schooling


An updated tool to help educators think about how the future of education may differ from what we expect.

Read the scenarios online – OECD library

The four scenarios are designed to help educators think about the future of schooling and education. They build on the ideas of re-schooling and de-schooling described in the first set of OECD scenarios in 2001.

The 2020 scenarios respond to emerging trends and changes, such as:

  • the expansion of learning markets
  • the growing role of digital technologies to connect people and personalise learning
  • the ongoing discussion of how to better tap into individual motivation for learning and its different sources. 

The scenarios are not predictions and they are not recipes. They are a tool that can help people to see the connections and the disjunctions between what we are doing now, what we imagine we will be doing in 20 years’ time, and what we have not imagined.

Each of the scenarios includes questions to prompt discussion.  


Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). (2020). Back to the future of education: Four OECD scenarios for schooling. Educational Research and Innovation, OECD Publishing, Paris.

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). (2001). The schooling for tomorrow scenarios.

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